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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego 2: Erik Arutiunian vs Luca Staeheli | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34d | UpTheBlues2 fills | San Diego 2: Erik Arutiunian vs Luca Staeheli | BuyErik Arutiunian69¢ → 100¢ | $3,002 | +$1,365 +45% | 6 |
| 34d | drrd | San Diego 2: Erik Arutiunian vs Luca Staeheli | BuyErik Arutiunian64¢ → 100¢ | $2,851 | +$1,604 +56% | 6 |
| 34d | Alexsd21 | San Diego 2: Erik Arutiunian vs Luca Staeheli | BuyLuca Staeheli41¢ → 0¢ | $1,357 | −$1,357 −100% | 6 |
| 34d | sjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq | Completed Match | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Erik Arutiunian and Luca Staeheli in the San Diego 2, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Luca Staeheli. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Erik Arutiunian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for San Diego 2: Erik Arutiunian vs Luca Staeheli means the market gives it about 100%.