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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +76 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162d | Errrrreapau | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $2,268 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | trillionaire8 | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $2,305 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | Square-Texture | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $1,724 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | trillionaire82 fills | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta56¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$2,136 +79% | 6 |
| 162d |  RN1 | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuySebastian Baez56¢ → 0¢ | $1,145 | −$1,145 −100% | 6 |
| 162d | Ancient-Infarction | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuySebastian Baez83¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 5 |
| 162d | Lne89 | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuySebastian Baez82¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 162d | koikoikoikoi | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuySebastian Baez84¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 5 |
| 162d | Thebigshot | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuySebastian Baez55¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 6 |
| 162d | BlasdeLezo1492 | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta42¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$1,740 +138% | 6 |
| 162d |  Schafbergballs | Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta45¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$1,268 +121% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Valencia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Busta means the market gives it about 0%.