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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $262K | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $2.97K | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.73K | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.18K | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $939 | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $482 | in 6d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $150 | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $128 | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $1.75 | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22h | Accessdenied17 | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $1,385 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 22h | homeemo | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$88 +4.4% | 4 |
| 22h | UpTheBlues11 fills | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili71¢ → 100¢ | $30,748 | +$12,727 +41% | 15 |
| 22h | beeemw | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili95¢ → 100¢ | $2,828 | +$151 +5.3% | 4 |
| 22h | Momo632 fills | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili92¢ → 100¢ | $10,028 | +$872 +8.7% | 5 |
| 22h | Ss1984 | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili88¢ → 100¢ | $3,310 | +$451 +14% | 5 |
| 22h | muchova19 | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili82¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$878 +22% | 6 |
| 23h | Tobias1909 | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino30¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 7 |
| 23h | redvinny | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | SellNikoloz Basilashvili70¢ → 100¢ | $8,136 | −$3,487 −43% | — |
| 23h | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino30¢ → 0¢ | $4,296 | −$4,296 −100% | 7 |
| 23h | redvinny2 fills | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili66¢ → 100¢ | $6,610 | +$3,389 +51% | 8 |
| 23h | HomeRunHazard | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili63¢ → 100¢ | $2,015 | +$1,183 +59% | 7 |
| 23h | UpTheBlues | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino52¢ → 0¢ | $1,923 | −$1,923 −100% | 7 |
| 23h | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili47¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | +$2,148 +113% | 7 |
| 23h |  one8tyfive | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili43¢ → 100¢ | $6,674 | +$8,847 +133% | 8 |
| 23h | omnibus-076daa | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili46¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$1,434 +118% | 6 |
| 23h | Exalted-Evocation | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino54¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 23h |  SportsGuru | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino49¢ → 0¢ | $1,148 | −$1,148 −100% | 6 |
| 23h | Spotless-Girlfriend | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili49¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$1,375 +104% | 6 |
| 23h | jyben13 | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 21.5 | BuyOver61¢ → 0¢ | $1,236 | −$1,236 −100% | 26 |
| 1d |  nigiri992 fills | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino47¢ → 0¢ | $4,260 | −$4,260 −100% | 7 |
| 1d | k56 | Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili56¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,592 +80% | 5 |
12xmrbolt2,544 sharesSportsGuru2,343 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Adrian Mannarino in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino means the market gives it about 100%.