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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Game Spread +/-5.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Set 1 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Set 2 Winner | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | SellMattia Bellucci>99¢ | $2,562 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | Wide-Swordfish-Latitude | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | SellMattia Bellucci>99¢ | $2,567 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | DCAETH | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | SellMattia Bellucci>99¢ | $1,209 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | 0xNuttawut | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | SellMattia Bellucci>99¢ | $4,781 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | luminaarx | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | SellMattia Bellucci99¢ → 100¢ | $4,031 | −$41 −1.0% | — |
| 18d | Lorolorota09 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | SellMattia Bellucci99¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 18d |  TRCM | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyMattia Bellucci92¢ → 100¢ | $5,065 | +$447 +8.8% | 5 |
| 18d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyElias Ymer28¢ → 0¢ | $2,895 | −$2,895 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyMattia Bellucci70¢ → 100¢ | $6,581 | +$2,790 +42% | 6 |
| 18d | HomeRunHazard9 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyMattia Bellucci68¢ → 100¢ | $38,058 | +$18,288 +48% | 6 |
| 18d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyElias Ymer39¢ → 0¢ | $10,789 | −$10,789 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | Lorolorota09 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyMattia Bellucci86¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$220 +16% | 5 |
| 18d | luminaarx | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyMattia Bellucci82¢ → 100¢ | $3,339 | +$733 +22% | 5 |
| 18d | kkookkoo | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyElias Ymer35¢ → 0¢ | $13,000 | −$13,000 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyElias Ymer39¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | −$1,025 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | 0xNuttawut | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyMattia Bellucci51¢ → 100¢ | $2,427 | +$2,332 +96% | 6 |
| 18d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyMattia Bellucci56¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$1,136 +80% | 6 |
| 18d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyElias Ymer18¢ → 0¢ | $1,434 | −$1,434 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | Illiasca | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer | BuyMattia Bellucci88¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$205 +14% | 5 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Elias Ymer in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Elias Ymer. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer means the market gives it about 100%.