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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d | Piercing-Achievement | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | SellAlexandr Binda>99¢ | $1,938 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | BLAHBLAHBLAH-298 | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | BuyAlexandr Binda89¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$550 +12% | 5 |
| 39d | UpTheBlues | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | BuyAlexandr Binda45¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$1,367 +120% | 6 |
| 39d | omnibus-076daa | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | BuyAlexandr Binda49¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$1,169 +104% | 6 |
| 39d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | BuyKosuke Ogura47¢ → 0¢ | $2,873 | −$2,873 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | Sn8383 | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | SellAlexandr Binda88¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | −$355 −14% | — |
| 39d | Sn8383 | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | BuyAlexandr Binda84¢ → 100¢ | $2,487 | +$468 +19% | 5 |
| 39d |  RN1 | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | BuyAlexandr Binda76¢ → 100¢ | $3,458 | +$1,092 +32% | 6 |
| 39d | omnibus-076daa | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | BuyKosuke Ogura22¢ → 0¢ | $1,662 | −$1,662 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | Piercing-Achievement | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | BuyAlexandr Binda87¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$252 +15% | 5 |
| 39d | xabidaking | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | SellAlexandr Binda86¢ → 100¢ | $2,305 | −$375 −16% | — |
| 39d | xabidaking | Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura | BuyAlexandr Binda71¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$782 +41% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Kosuke Ogura in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Kosuke Ogura. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura means the market gives it about 100%.
