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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 Winner | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris | BuyLloyd Harris81¢ → 100¢ | $5,554 | +$1,342 +24% | 4 |
| 18d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris | BuyAlex Bolt18¢ → 0¢ | $3,708 | −$3,708 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris | BuyAlex Bolt20¢ → 0¢ | $5,871 | −$5,871 −100% | 4 |
| 19d |  VeryLucky888 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris | BuyLloyd Harris80¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$260 +25% | 4 |
| 19d | bagadodg | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris | BuyLloyd Harris78¢ → 100¢ | $3,772 | +$1,084 +29% | 4 |
| 19d |  TKD44 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris | BuyLloyd Harris79¢ → 100¢ | $3,515 | +$934 +27% | 4 |
| 19d |  no1dodgersfan | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris | BuyLloyd Harris80¢ → 100¢ | $2,047 | +$512 +25% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Lloyd Harris in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris means the market gives it about 0%.