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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 Winner | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189d | Brotherkara | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | SellAlex Bolt>99¢ | $2,044 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | OlimpoDRoger | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | SellAlex Bolt>99¢ | $1,875 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | blindsamsam | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | SellAlex Bolt>99¢ | $1,285 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | mentrox | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | SellAlex Bolt>99¢ | $1,504 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 189d |  doutrustlight | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | SellAlex Bolt>99¢ | $1,240 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 189d |  ACEE123 | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | BuyAlex Bolt94¢ → 100¢ | $14,213 | +$844 +5.9% | 4 |
| 190d | Irritating-Report | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | SellAlex Bolt52¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | −$1,498 −91% | — |
| 190d | swisstony | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi43¢ → 0¢ | $2,977 | −$2,977 −100% | 6 |
| 190d | swisstony | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | BuyAlex Bolt66¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$538 +52% | 6 |
| 190d | OlimpoDRoger | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | BuyAlex Bolt74¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$484 +35% | 6 |
| 190d | Calm-Ikebana | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | SellAlex Bolt73¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$403 −37% | — |
| 190d | Calm-Ikebana | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | BuyAlex Bolt83¢ → 100¢ | $6,832 | +$1,388 +20% | 5 |
| 190d | Davlic | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi36¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 6 |
| 190d | Irritating-Report | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | BuyAlex Bolt59¢ → 100¢ | $1,846 | +$1,260 +68% | 6 |
| 190d | sniper00me | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | BuyRio Noguchi43¢ → 0¢ | $2,285 | −$2,285 −100% | 4 |
| 190d | TC1508 | Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | BuyAlex Bolt55¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$1,355 +82% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Rio Noguchi in the Busan, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Rio Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi means the market gives it about 100%.