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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 Winner | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 Winner | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d | RanaAmariPredicts | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | SellPablo Llamas Ruiz>99¢ | $15,889 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | TheMangoButt | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | SellPablo Llamas Ruiz>99¢ | $2,076 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | Petal | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | SellPablo Llamas Ruiz89¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$129 −12% | — |
| 59d | TheMangoButt | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz81¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | +$395 +23% | 5 |
| 59d | omnibus-076daa | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz72¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$641 +39% | 6 |
| 59d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz73¢ → 100¢ | $4,431 | +$1,668 +38% | 6 |
| 59d | kkookkoo | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | SellAlex Bolt18¢ → 0¢ | $2,269 | +$2,269 +100% | — |
| 59d |  VibeDoter | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz83¢ → 100¢ | $5,603 | +$1,148 +20% | 5 |
| 59d | peterdfs | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz67¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$507 +49% | 6 |
| 59d |  MurkSniper | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyAlex Bolt34¢ → 0¢ | $1,898 | −$1,898 −100% | 6 |
| 59d | DAKJE | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyAlex Bolt41¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 59d | Lorolorota09 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz66¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$571 +51% | 6 |
| 59d | jrneymar2 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz67¢ → 100¢ | $3,380 | +$1,690 +50% | 6 |
| 59d | kkookkoo | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyAlex Bolt38¢ → 0¢ | $4,900 | −$4,900 −100% | 6 |
| 59d | 11vsldfdsgfkjgos4 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyAlex Bolt35¢ → 0¢ | $48,452 | −$48,452 −100% | 6 |
| 59d | RanaAmariPredicts | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz71¢ → 100¢ | $11,300 | +$4,605 +41% | 6 |
| 59d | comon119 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz71¢ → 100¢ | $4,260 | +$1,740 +41% | 6 |
| 60d | thatguythatguy | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyAlex Bolt28¢ → 0¢ | $2,814 | −$2,814 −100% | 4 |
| 60d | marketmesh | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz66¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$676 +52% | 4 |
| 60d | fastball67 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz66¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$624 +52% | 4 |
StasPanda2,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz means the market gives it about 0%.