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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set 1 Winner | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135d |  vodolei | Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith | SellKeegan Smith>99¢ | $2,612 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 135d | swisstony2 fills | Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith | BuyKeegan Smith98¢ → 100¢ | $7,849 | +$160 +2.0% | 4 |
| 135d |  TRCM | Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith | BuyKeegan Smith78¢ → 100¢ | $2,720 | +$772 +28% | 5 |
| 135d | 0F62 | Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith | SellKeegan Smith53¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$1,002 −90% | — |
| 135d |  tradecraft | Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith | BuyKeegan Smith48¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$1,806 +108% | 6 |
| 135d | Firsthand-Miscommunication | Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith | BuyAlex Bolt78¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 5 |
| 136d | SilverLev | Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith | BuyAlex Bolt75¢ → 0¢ | $2,652 | −$2,652 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Keegan Smith in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 9, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Keegan Smith. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith means the market gives it about 0%.