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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d |  alpheclabs | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | SellElmer Moeller>99¢ | $1,086 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 78d |  RN1 | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller87¢ → 100¢ | $7,317 | +$1,093 +15% | 5 |
| 78d | swisstony | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller87¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$160 +15% | 5 |
| 78d | Arcus-AI | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | SellElmer Moeller87¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | −$224 −15% | — |
| 78d | beeemw | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller95¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$205 +5.3% | 4 |
| 78d | tennistrader20 | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | BuyRaul Brancaccio24¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | paquitomillonario | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller77¢ → 100¢ | $7,162 | +$2,139 +30% | 6 |
| 78d |  LarryDaddy | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | SellRaul Brancaccio40¢ → 0¢ | $1,224 | +$1,224 +100% | — |
| 78d | Vigilant-Environment | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 9.5 | BuyUnder80¢ → 0¢ | $1,297 | −$1,297 −100% | 5 |
| 78d | LarryDaddy | Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller | BuyRaul Brancaccio46¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Brancaccio and Elmer Moeller in the Hagen, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Raul Brancaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moeller means the market gives it about 0%.