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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set 2 Winner | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set 1 Winner | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Game Spread +/-2.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $14,985 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,833 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,822 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik89¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$165 +12% | 4 |
| 15d | andi199999 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik84¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$277 +19% | 4 |
| 15d | UpTheBlues9 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik96¢ → 100¢ | $27,330 | +$1,069 +3.9% | 4 |
| 15d | Spotted-Oak | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik96¢ → 100¢ | $3,003 | +$125 +4.2% | 4 |
| 15d | wyshooting | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 4 |
| 15d | redvinny | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | SellAlexander Bublik91¢ → 100¢ | $5,857 | −$579 −9.9% | — |
| 15d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik91¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | +$165 +9.9% | 4 |
| 15d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik83¢ → 100¢ | $2,224 | +$456 +20% | 4 |
| 15d | redvinny | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik83¢ → 100¢ | $4,150 | +$850 +20% | 4 |
| 15d | beeemw | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik68¢ → 100¢ | $15,384 | +$7,078 +46% | 4 |
| 15d | Kkunn2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | SellTomas Machac34¢ → 0¢ | $5,040 | +$5,040 +100% | — |
| 15d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik67¢ → 100¢ | $10,050 | +$4,950 +49% | 4 |
| 15d | kahe | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik66¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$5,152 +52% | 4 |
| 15d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyTomas Machac35¢ → 0¢ | $5,314 | −$5,314 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | ChallengerSpecialist | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik66¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$748 +52% | 4 |
| 15d | caspar1248 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyTomas Machac35¢ → 0¢ | $1,231 | −$1,231 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | 1Day100USD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | SellAlexander Bublik65¢ → 100¢ | $3,696 | −$2,032 −55% | — |
| 15d | 1Day100USD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik66¢ → 100¢ | $3,769 | +$1,941 +52% | 4 |
| 15d | Illiasca | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | BuyAlexander Bublik66¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,618 +52% | 4 |
| 15d | 0x755a…82c4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyTomas Machac59¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Tomas Machac in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Alexander Bublik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac means the market gives it about 100%.