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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-5.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 40.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 100% | +32 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 36.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 Winner | 100% | +54 pts | — | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 38.5 | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 Winner | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | Lucianvespertine100 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 51d | Flaznorp2 fills | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik88¢ → 100¢ | $3,841 | +$548 +14% | 5 |
| 51d | Mad-Wound | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik98¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$38 +2.0% | 4 |
| 51d |  mooseborzoi | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik97¢ → 100¢ | $7,701 | +$238 +3.1% | 4 |
| 51d | flatbarrel | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik91¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$128 +9.9% | 5 |
| 51d |  tradecraft3 fills | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik84¢ → 100¢ | $9,075 | +$1,720 +19% | 5 |
| 51d | afraz | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAlexander Bublik88¢ → 100¢ | $11,359 | −$1,549 −14% | — |
| 51d | sifonman7 fills | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik84¢ → 100¢ | $10,801 | +$2,057 +19% | 5 |
| 51d | afraz2 fills | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik77¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$2,908 +29% | 6 |
| 51d | comon119 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino25¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 6 |
| 51d |  prizrak17 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik76¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$1,042 +32% | 6 |
| 51d | Gourmet15 fills | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino25¢ → 0¢ | $51,454 | −$51,454 −100% | 4 |
| 51d | dv-pm | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino24¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 6 |
| 51d | vibing123 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik77¢ → 100¢ | $5,453 | +$1,629 +30% | 6 |
| 51d | CVCM | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik77¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$345 +30% | 4 |
| 51d | fastball67 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAlexander Bublik77¢ → 100¢ | $5,870 | +$1,753 +30% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Adrian Mannarino in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Alexander Bublik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino means the market gives it about 100%.