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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +30 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d |  LuckeeX | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,349 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Kire17 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,717 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d |  0xwise | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $2,875 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | User.0xE | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | alaskabaked | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $3,548 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $57,325 | −$57 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | petyas231 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $3,760 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $7,978 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | RebornAthena | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | fishermm | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik99¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 13d | Gianmarco93 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik99¢ → 100¢ | $2,322 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 13d | Stupendous-Spring-Cartilage | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik93¢ → 100¢ | $6,314 | +$454 +7.2% | 4 |
| 13d | redvinny | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik91¢ → 100¢ | $3,461 | −$342 −9.9% | — |
| 13d | Gianmarco93 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik81¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$446 +23% | 4 |
| 13d | redvinny | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik87¢ → 100¢ | $7,733 | +$1,155 +15% | 4 |
| 13d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik69¢ → 100¢ | $4,498 | +$2,061 +46% | 4 |
| 13d | petyas231 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik49¢ → 100¢ | $1,837 | +$1,926 +105% | 4 |
| 13d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik57¢ → 100¢ | $4,084 | +$3,081 +75% | 4 |
| 13d | dmoralez2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima57¢ → 0¢ | $4,876 | +$4,876 +100% | — |
| 13d | dmoralez3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik45¢ → 100¢ | $3,287 | −$4,070 −124% | — |
| 13d | bankside | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima46¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | rogerveer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima50¢ → 0¢ | $5,777 | −$5,777 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | dmoralez | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik54¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$1,037 +85% | 4 |
| 13d | Kire17 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik58¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$719 +72% | 4 |
| 13d | kdvlklkvlsklkfs | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima47¢ → 0¢ | $49,319 | −$49,319 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik54¢ → 100¢ | $8,372 | +$7,088 +85% | 4 |
| 13d | tinashi1199zz | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik59¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | −$977 −69% | — |
| 13d | dmoralez | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima41¢ → 0¢ | $1,178 | −$1,178 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | 0xNuttawut | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima46¢ → 0¢ | $2,712 | −$2,712 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | dapr | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik57¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | −$1,438 −75% | — |
| 13d | Luzzzer3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima52¢ → 0¢ | $18,370 | −$18,370 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | lhetorar3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik58¢ → 100¢ | $9,524 | +$6,897 +72% | 4 |
| 13d | lhetorar | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima43¢ → 0¢ | $4,600 | +$4,600 +100% | — |
| 13d | alaskabaked | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik56¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,552 +78% | 4 |
| 13d | Flaznorp2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima63¢ → 0¢ | $2,171 | −$2,171 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | Zenhack | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellAlexander Bublik29¢ → 100¢ | $3,085 | −$7,552 −245% | — |
| 13d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima72¢ → 0¢ | $2,415 | −$2,415 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | rytore | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima69¢ → 0¢ | $7,328 | −$7,328 −100% | 4 |
| 13d |  one8tyfive | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima75¢ → 0¢ | $6,873 | −$6,873 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima67¢ → 0¢ | $7,572 | −$7,572 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | MilesY | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik69¢ → 100¢ | $5,460 | +$2,504 +46% | 4 |
| 13d | eokho | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima50¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | +$1,021 +100% | — |
| 13d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik44¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$1,877 +127% | 4 |
| 13d | Tobias1909 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima56¢ → 0¢ | $1,164 | −$1,164 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | 0x760f…326a | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik45¢ → 100¢ | $11,935 | +$14,418 +121% | 4 |
| 13d | kkookkoo2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik47¢ → 100¢ | $7,777 | +$8,810 +113% | 4 |
| 13d | nuuki | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima53¢ → 0¢ | $2,120 | −$2,120 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | whosay | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik47¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$1,590 +113% | 4 |
| 13d |  tradecraft | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik45¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$4,950 +122% | 4 |
| 13d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik45¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$1,651 +122% | 4 |
| 13d | eokho | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima56¢ → 0¢ | $1,143 | −$1,143 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | lhetorar | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima55¢ → 0¢ | $3,527 | −$3,527 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | xabidaking2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima54¢ → 0¢ | $3,842 | −$3,842 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | Kkunn3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik47¢ → 100¢ | $25,238 | +$28,786 +114% | 4 |
| 13d | wyshooting | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAlexander Bublik66¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$894 +52% | 4 |
| 13d | tenet-bot | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima55¢ → 0¢ | $2,035 | −$2,035 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | lonzoball | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima54¢ → 0¢ | $1,988 | −$1,988 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | tinashi1199zz | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyAlexander Bublik47¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$1,239 +113% | 4 |
| 13d | Jooboo123 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima53¢ → 0¢ | $5,830 | −$5,830 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | jtwyslljy7 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima53¢ → 0¢ | $25,189 | −$25,189 −100% | 4 |
one8tyfive16,046 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Brandon Nakashima in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Alexander Bublik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima means the market gives it about 100%.