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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | muchova19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellFelix Auger-Aliassime>99¢ | $6,694 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | kkookkoo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellFelix Auger-Aliassime>99¢ | $18,085 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | NightStalker106 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellFelix Auger-Aliassime>99¢ | $1,030 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Dom91 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellFelix Auger-Aliassime>99¢ | $1,544 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | littlebay | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellFelix Auger-Aliassime>99¢ | $1,649 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellFelix Auger-Aliassime99¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 12d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime97¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$35 +3.1% | 4 |
| 12d | muchova192 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime97¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$201 +3.1% | 4 |
| 12d | Momo63 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime97¢ → 100¢ | $9,700 | +$300 +3.1% | 4 |
| 12d | Poolymath | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime95¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$64 +5.3% | 4 |
| 12d | Idontwantausername | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime95¢ → 100¢ | $4,788 | +$252 +5.3% | 4 |
| 12d | UpTheBlues9 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime80¢ → 100¢ | $31,632 | +$7,718 +24% | 5 |
| 12d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime86¢ → 100¢ | $5,970 | +$949 +16% | 5 |
| 12d | Kkunn2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyPablo Carreno Busta25¢ → 0¢ | $12,737 | −$12,737 −100% | 6 |
| 12d | Nikos888 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellPablo Carreno Busta27¢ → 0¢ | $1,517 | +$1,517 +100% | — |
| 12d | Brian88888 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime76¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$632 +32% | 6 |
| 12d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime76¢ → 100¢ | $7,761 | +$2,478 +32% | 6 |
| 12d | Juan12345678 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellPablo Carreno Busta26¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | +$1,043 +100% | — |
| 12d | Dom91 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime73¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$417 +37% | 6 |
| 12d |  C6H6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime>99¢ | $3,623 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 12d | beeemw | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellFelix Auger-Aliassime78¢ → 100¢ | $20,913 | −$5,958 −28% | — |
| 12d | wyshooting | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime95¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$68 +5.3% | 4 |
| 12d | k56 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime93¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$606 +7.6% | 4 |
| 12d | Flaznorp2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime78¢ → 100¢ | $17,919 | +$5,179 +29% | 5 |
| 12d | Nikos888 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyPablo Carreno Busta28¢ → 0¢ | $2,042 | −$2,042 −100% | 6 |
| 12d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellFelix Auger-Aliassime70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$450 −43% | — |
| 12d | Flaznorp2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyPablo Carreno Busta25¢ → 0¢ | $4,706 | −$4,706 −100% | 6 |
| 12d | kkookkoo2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime76¢ → 100¢ | $13,800 | +$4,303 +31% | 6 |
| 12d | Substantial-Service | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime74¢ → 100¢ | $10,497 | +$3,688 +35% | 6 |
| 12d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime76¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | +$960 +32% | 6 |
| 12d | Spotless-Girlfriend | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime76¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$472 +32% | 6 |
| 12d | name-no-name | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime76¢ → 100¢ | $1,895 | +$598 +32% | 4 |
| 12d | 0000. | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime75¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$3,333 +33% | 4 |
| 12d | k56 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyPablo Carreno Busta27¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime means the market gives it about 0%.