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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 Winner | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172d | igetlitty | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | SellPablo Carreno Busta50¢ | $1,757 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 172d | Confused-Birthday2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | SellPablo Carreno Busta50¢ | $7,500 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 172d | Rare-Dishwasher | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | SellPablo Carreno Busta50¢ | $1,594 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 172d | POKE1 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | SellPablo Carreno Busta50¢ | $2,083 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 172d | jberlop | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | SellPablo Carreno Busta50¢ | $2,755 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 172d | Ivanet109 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellBusta49¢ → 50¢ | $1,758 | −$36 −2.0% | — |
| 172d | Confused-Birthday | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyPablo Carreno Busta51¢ → 50¢ | $10,000 | −$196 −2.0% | 6 |
| 172d | 0x5bc3…7a59 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | SellStan Wawrinka49¢ → 50¢ | $1,415 | −$29 −2.0% | — |
| 172d | WynnWaldorf | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | SellPablo Carreno Busta50¢ | $5,992 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 172d | POKE1 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyPablo Carreno Busta51¢ → 50¢ | $2,125 | −$42 −2.0% | 4 |
| 172d | intlucola-805 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyStan Wawrinka34¢ → 50¢ | $3,108 | +$1,397 +45% | 4 |
| 172d | Absolyutno-pohuy | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyStan Wawrinka33¢ → 50¢ | $1,341 | +$700 +52% | 4 |
| 172d | MrClaude11 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyStan Wawrinka32¢ → 50¢ | $1,437 | +$808 +56% | 4 |
| 172d | Rare-Dishwasher | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyPablo Carreno Busta69¢ → 50¢ | $2,200 | −$606 −28% | 4 |
| 172d | phredmoz | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyPablo Carreno Busta69¢ → 50¢ | $1,100 | −$303 −28% | 4 |
| 172d | jberlop | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyPablo Carreno Busta70¢ → 50¢ | $3,828 | −$1,077 −28% | 4 |
| 172d | Ivanet109 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyBusta50¢ | $1,119 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 172d | WynnWaldorf2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyPablo Carreno Busta69¢ → 50¢ | $4,000 | −$1,091 −27% | 4 |
| 172d | igetlitty | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka | BuyPablo Carreno Busta68¢ → 50¢ | $2,375 | −$618 −26% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Stan Wawrinka in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Stan Wawrinka. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka means the market gives it about 50%.