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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 Winner | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −80 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d |  SALADITO | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli>99¢ | $1,833 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | RoadTo1MillionUsd | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli>99¢ | $1,067 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | 0xa3ae…aca3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli>99¢ | $2,040 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | Well-Made-Birch-Allergist | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli>99¢ | $2,381 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | Under1345 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli>99¢ | $4,572 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli>99¢ | $1,146 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | Takeshirosoku | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli>99¢ | $1,424 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | W.Yang911 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellIlia Simakin30¢ → 0¢ | $1,547 | +$1,547 +100% | — |
| 16d | W.Yang9112 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin70¢ → 0¢ | $2,796 | −$2,796 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Flaznorp3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin54¢ → 0¢ | $5,075 | −$5,075 −100% | 6 |
| 16d |  frugs | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellIlia Simakin78¢ → 0¢ | $1,081 | +$1,081 +100% | — |
| 16d | Luminous-Addiction | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin69¢ → 0¢ | $1,905 | −$1,905 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | madkkee | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin67¢ → 0¢ | $3,052 | −$3,052 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | RebornAthena | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin62¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Takeshirosoku | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyCamilo Ugo Carabelli83¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$242 +20% | 5 |
| 16d | w... | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli76¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | −$474 −31% | — |
| 16d | 1Day100USD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellIlia Simakin21¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | +$1,160 +100% | — |
| 16d |  Gamer-Girl | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli79¢ → 100¢ | $2,605 | −$693 −27% | — |
| 16d | w... | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyCamilo Ugo Carabelli58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$840 +72% | 6 |
| 16d | Justluck9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin55¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Illiasca2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin63¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Under1345 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyCamilo Ugo Carabelli42¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$1,488 +138% | 6 |
| 16d | Gamer-Girl | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyCamilo Ugo Carabelli42¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | +$2,388 +138% | 6 |
| 16d | dmoralez | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellIlia Simakin64¢ → 0¢ | $1,116 | +$1,116 +100% | — |
| 16d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin63¢ → 0¢ | $17,393 | −$17,393 −100% | 4 |
| 16d | invorser2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin80¢ → 0¢ | $5,215 | −$5,215 −100% | 5 |
| 16d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyCamilo Ugo Carabelli26¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$3,970 +288% | 6 |
| 16d | Takeshirosoku | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin73¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | _test_i075_i078_1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellCamilo Ugo Carabelli36¢ → 100¢ | $2,759 | −$4,904 −178% | — |
| 16d | _test_i075_i078_1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyCamilo Ugo Carabelli32¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$5,189 +210% | 6 |
| 16d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyCamilo Ugo Carabelli41¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$1,497 +144% | 6 |
| 16d |  one8tyfive | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyCamilo Ugo Carabelli39¢ → 100¢ | $3,971 | +$6,211 +156% | 6 |
| 16d |  BIess | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyCamilo Ugo Carabelli39¢ → 100¢ | $2,761 | +$4,319 +156% | 6 |
| 16d | invorser | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | SellIlia Simakin78¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | +$1,227 +100% | — |
| 16d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin90¢ → 0¢ | $6,003 | −$6,003 −100% | 5 |
| 16d | 1Day100USD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin87¢ → 0¢ | $4,799 | −$4,799 −100% | 5 |
Gamer-Girl4,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Ilia Simakin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin means the market gives it about 100%.