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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | askilika | Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna | SellJuan Manuel La Serna>99¢ | $31,979 | −$32 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | omnibus-076daa | Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyHernan Casanova16¢ → 0¢ | $1,977 | −$1,977 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna70¢ → 100¢ | $16,542 | +$6,963 +42% | 4 |
| 11d | robustmst2 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyHernan Casanova40¢ → 0¢ | $4,850 | −$4,850 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | askilika3 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna60¢ → 100¢ | $21,707 | +$14,232 +66% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Hernan Casanova and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hernan Casanova' if Hernan Casanova advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Hernan Casanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna means the market gives it about 0%.