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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46d |  vinsonneverlose | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng | SellLuca Castelnuovo>99¢ | $1,754 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng | BuyChun-Hsin Tseng38¢ → 0¢ | $4,656 | −$4,656 −100% | 6 |
| 46d | vinsonneverlose | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng | BuyLuca Castelnuovo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | +$411 +31% | 6 |
| 46d |  hd7775 fills | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng | BuyChun-Hsin Tseng98¢ → 0¢ | $33,224 | −$33,224 −100% | 4 |
| 46d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng | BuyChun-Hsin Tseng88¢ → 0¢ | $2,283 | −$2,283 −100% | 5 |
| 46d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng | BuyChun-Hsin Tseng83¢ → 0¢ | $4,408 | −$4,408 −100% | 5 |
xiaoyaozz303 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Chun-Hsin Tseng in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Chun-Hsin Tseng. This market will resolve to 'Chun-Hsin Tseng' if Chun-Hsin Tseng advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai: Luca Castelnuovo vs Chun-Hsin Tseng means the market gives it about 100%.