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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d |  Socialista | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | pacopaquitopaco | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $1,486 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | makizinchers | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | SellCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $1,469 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 14d |  LhordGryffin | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz>99¢ | $6,695 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 14d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$33 +3.1% | 4 |
| 14d | testing001 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz97¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$32 +3.1% | 4 |
| 14d | SplendidAmadeus | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz94¢ → 100¢ | $2,398 | +$157 +6.6% | 4 |
| 14d | Socialista | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz93¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$84 +7.5% | 4 |
| 14d | pacopaquitopaco | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz93¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | +$104 +7.5% | 4 |
| 14d | makizinchers | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz95¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$74 +5.3% | 4 |
| 14d | johnevergreen | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz95¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$83 +5.3% | 4 |
| 14d | 0F622 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | BuyCarlos Alcaraz95¢ → 100¢ | $7,389 | +$389 +5.3% | 4 |
no1dodgersfan2,971 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz means the market gives it about 0%.