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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | 50% | +4 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −16 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +9 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +18 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −8 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +5 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +12 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +9 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | −11 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 Winner | 50% | +4 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +9 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 Winner | 50% | +4 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −4 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94d | Arcus-AI | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | BuyJesper de Jong51¢ → 50¢ | $5,100 | −$100 −2.0% | 6 |
| 94d | Arcus-AI | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | SellJan Choinski49¢ → 50¢ | $5,005 | −$102 −2.0% | — |
| 94d | Arcus-AI | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | BuyJan Choinski50¢ | $5,107 | $0 0.0% | 6 |
| 94d | BLAHBLAHBLAH-298 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | BuyJan Choinski50¢ | $1,000 | $0 0.0% | 6 |
| 94d | riverskew6 fills | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | BuyJesper de Jong51¢ → 50¢ | $7,680 | −$151 −2.0% | 6 |
| 94d | 0xb0E43B885657a33B347A4af1D05Bd5f3c3A7E99 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | BuyJan Choinski46¢ → 50¢ | $6,420 | +$515 +8.0% | 6 |
| 94d | 0x2792…c4f6 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | BuyJan Choinski44¢ → 50¢ | $1,446 | +$197 +14% | 6 |
| 94d | sportmaster777 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong | BuyJan Choinski44¢ → 50¢ | $2,986 | +$407 +14% | 6 |
MeistersApprenticeship155 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Jesper de Jong in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Jesper de Jong. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Jan Choinski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong means the market gives it about 50%.