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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-0.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | StJames1 | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $4,044 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 4d |  SportsGuru | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $2,527 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | littlebay | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | Mika062 fills | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $3,340 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | Ss1984 | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili99¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 4d | redvinny4 fills | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili85¢ → 100¢ | $6,635 | −$1,182 −18% | — |
| 4d | robustmst | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili79¢ → 100¢ | $64,710 | −$17,092 −26% | — |
| 4d | Israel10 | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyMarin Cilic20¢ → 0¢ | $1,728 | −$1,728 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | lopezmarin17 | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyMarin Cilic16¢ → 0¢ | $1,897 | −$1,897 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | redvinny | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili79¢ → 100¢ | $6,018 | +$1,600 +27% | 5 |
| 4d | SportsGuru | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili62¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$949 +60% | 6 |
| 4d | eokho | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili68¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | −$1,482 −47% | — |
| 4d | StJames1 | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili80¢ → 100¢ | $3,238 | +$810 +25% | 5 |
| 4d | eokho | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili76¢ → 100¢ | $3,517 | +$1,115 +32% | 6 |
| 4d | chiefphi | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili53¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$975 +89% | 6 |
| 4d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili55¢ → 100¢ | $5,991 | +$4,825 +81% | 6 |
| 4d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyMarin Cilic49¢ → 0¢ | $2,855 | −$2,855 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyMarin Cilic47¢ → 0¢ | $2,657 | −$2,657 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | HomeRunHazard | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyMarin Cilic54¢ → 0¢ | $1,307 | −$1,307 −100% | 6 |
| 4d | robustmst8 fills | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili50¢ → 100¢ | $41,000 | +$40,802 +100% | 6 |
| 4d | Mika06 | Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili59¢ → 100¢ | $2,078 | +$1,444 +69% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Marin Cilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili means the market gives it about 0%.