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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev | 50% | +23 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | −8 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 50% | −9 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner | 50% | +14 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% | +24 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 50% | +17 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −19 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner | 50% | +11 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +10 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 Winner | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 7¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 36.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 38.5 | 50% | +1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 Winner | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54d | omnibus-076daa | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyRublev51¢ → 50¢ | $1,117 | −$22 −2.0% | 6 |
| 54d | omnibus-076daa | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev51¢ → 50¢ | $1,240 | −$24 −2.0% | 6 |
| 54d | Stavenson2 fills | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev | BuyMarin Cilic30¢ → 50¢ | $6,482 | +$4,190 +65% | 6 |
| 54d | Palmo4ka | US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyCilic46¢ → 50¢ | $1,786 | +$174 +9.7% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Andrey Rublev in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Marin Cilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev means the market gives it about 50%.