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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 Winner | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172d | pagliacci4 | Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi | SellJay Clarke>99¢ | $1,137 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 172d | Jittery-Birth-ResponseNew account | Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi | SellJay Clarke>99¢ | $15,438 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 172d | Closed-Development | Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi | SellJay Clarke98¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$18 −1.5% | — |
| 172d | Jittery-Birth-ResponseNew account | Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJay Clarke97¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$454 +3.0% | 6 |
| 172d | Closed-Development | Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJay Clarke96¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$48 +4.2% | 5 |
| 172d | BABELCONSTEL | Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJay Clarke96¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$376 +3.8% | 4 |
RN11,471 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Jay Clarke and Federico Arnaboldi in the Francavilla, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Federico Arnaboldi. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Jay Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Federico Arnaboldi means the market gives it about 100%.