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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 Winner | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107d | WinsOnly94 fills | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | SellMiguel Damas>99¢ | $107,762 | −$108 −0.1% | — |
| 107d | Guilty-Receipt | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | SellMiguel Damas>99¢ | $52,799 | −$53 −0.1% | — |
| 107d | Optiamo | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | SellMiguel Damas94¢ → 100¢ | $2,818 | −$173 −6.1% | — |
| 107d | 0x540e…263d | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | SellMiguel Damas91¢ → 100¢ | $2,042 | −$199 −9.8% | — |
| 107d | Optiamo | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyMiguel Damas92¢ → 100¢ | $2,751 | +$240 +8.7% | 5 |
| 107d | muneyenjayerrr | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly57¢ → 0¢ | $2,600 | −$2,600 −100% | 6 |
| 107d | Guilty-Receipt | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyMiguel Damas51¢ → 100¢ | $27,000 | +$25,852 +96% | 6 |
| 107d | danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 6 |
| 107d | ferrariChampions2026 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyMiguel Damas69¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$562 +45% | 6 |
| 107d | WinsOnly92 fills | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyMiguel Damas49¢ → 100¢ | $14,417 | +$14,916 +103% | 6 |
| 107d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly52¢ → 0¢ | $15,417 | −$15,417 −100% | 6 |
| 107d | Yawning-Chicken3 fills | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly52¢ → 0¢ | $4,744 | −$4,744 −100% | 6 |
| 107d |  DCAAA | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly52¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | −$1,032 −100% | 6 |
| 107d |  TRCM | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly52¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 6 |
| 107d |  tradecraft | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly52¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | −$1,560 −100% | 6 |
| 107d | neutralwave23 | Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly56¢ → 0¢ | $3,281 | −$3,281 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Liege, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Miguel Damas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly means the market gives it about 100%.