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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki Game Spread +/-0.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Smile1681682 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $24,832 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | Clawbangers | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki>99¢ | $1,075 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | W.Yang911 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki | SellShintaro Mochizuki95¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | −$65 −5.3% | — |
| 18d | Smile168168 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki35¢ → 100¢ | $9,310 | +$17,169 +184% | 6 |
| 19d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyTaro Daniel83¢ → 0¢ | $1,256 | −$1,256 −100% | 5 |
| 19d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyShintaro Mochizuki37¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$2,539 +170% | 6 |
| 19d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyTaro Daniel58¢ → 0¢ | $3,850 | −$3,850 −100% | 4 |
hobo69700 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Taro Daniel and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Taro Daniel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki means the market gives it about 0%.