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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +42 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 84¢ · 100¢ (16¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | Buttery-Vanilla-CroissantNew account | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | SellLuciano Darderi>99¢ | $2,912 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | Edenhazardous | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | SellLuciano Darderi>99¢ | $7,851 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 23d |  tnns1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | SellLuciano Darderi>99¢ | $2,431 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | Paul9739732 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyLuciano Darderi97¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$144 +3.6% | 4 |
| 23d | Keilerbets | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | SellLuciano Darderi94¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$87 −6.8% | — |
| 23d | Flaznorp | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyLuciano Darderi95¢ → 100¢ | $3,113 | +$167 +5.4% | 4 |
| 23d | Kkunn2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud16¢ → 0¢ | $6,746 | −$6,746 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyLuciano Darderi55¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | +$1,851 +81% | 6 |
| 23d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud20¢ → 0¢ | $2,379 | −$2,379 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | Ilgato | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyLuciano Darderi92¢ → 100¢ | $1,956 | +$170 +8.7% | 5 |
| 23d | ferrariChampions2026 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyLuciano Darderi79¢ → 100¢ | $6,934 | +$1,808 +26% | 5 |
| 23d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyLuciano Darderi49¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$2,346 +105% | 6 |
| 23d | Edenhazardous2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyLuciano Darderi51¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$3,859 +96% | 6 |
| 23d | 0x4f3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud | BuyCasper Ruud65¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 6 |
hobo69800 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Casper Ruud in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud means the market gives it about 100%.