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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 5d |
| Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano Game Spread +/-0.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 5d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  Tan43212 fills | Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano | BuyFilippo Romano98¢ → 100¢ | $199,462 | +$4,038 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1d | Flaznorp | Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano | BuyFilippo Romano93¢ → 100¢ | $2,140 | +$161 +7.5% | 4 |
| 1d | PreserveGain | Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano | BuyFilippo Romano91¢ → 100¢ | $2,305 | +$228 +9.9% | 5 |
| 1d | ferrariChampions2026 | Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano | BuyMatthew William Donald22¢ → 0¢ | $1,122 | −$1,122 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano | BuyMatthew William Donald54¢ → 0¢ | $2,318 | −$2,318 −100% | 6 |
tradecraft420 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Filippo Romano in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Filippo Romano. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano means the market gives it about 0%.