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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d | phredmoz | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $1,351 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | swy01 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $2,523 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | aloqqqqqa | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $2,266 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | confusedinlife | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $1,075 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | Ss1984 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili98¢ → 100¢ | $4,151 | +$86 +2.1% | 4 |
| 17d | UpTheBlues7 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili82¢ → 100¢ | $22,082 | +$5,000 +23% | 5 |
| 17d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili65¢ → 100¢ | $9,322 | +$4,945 +53% | 6 |
| 17d | Katalunygeaxvhj | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyLiam Draxl20¢ → 0¢ | $2,134 | −$2,134 −100% | 6 |
| 17d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili93¢ → 100¢ | $12,631 | +$951 +7.5% | 4 |
| 17d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili93¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | +$175 +7.5% | 4 |
| 17d | swy01 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili84¢ → 100¢ | $2,122 | +$404 +19% | 5 |
| 17d | Katalunygeaxvhj | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili86¢ → 100¢ | $3,943 | −$628 −16% | — |
| 17d |  88M | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili85¢ → 100¢ | $3,533 | −$624 −18% | — |
| 17d |  oya64 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili81¢ → 100¢ | $4,152 | −$974 −23% | — |
| 17d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili55¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | −$1,092 −82% | — |
| 17d | MODDI | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyLiam Draxl41¢ → 0¢ | $6,637 | −$6,637 −100% | 6 |
| 17d | oya64 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili54¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$1,122 +85% | 6 |
| 17d | oya64 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellLiam Draxl46¢ → 0¢ | $1,162 | +$1,162 +100% | — |
| 17d | oya64 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyLiam Draxl92¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 17d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili23¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$13,565 +339% | 6 |
| 17d | Finished-Cholesterol | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyLiam Draxl77¢ → 0¢ | $2,869 | −$2,869 −100% | 6 |
| 17d | Illiasca | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili29¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$4,897 +245% | 6 |
| 17d | UpTheBlues9 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyLiam Draxl71¢ → 0¢ | $17,255 | −$17,255 −100% | 6 |
| 17d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyLiam Draxl58¢ → 0¢ | $5,480 | −$5,480 −100% | 6 |
| 17d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyLiam Draxl46¢ → 0¢ | $4,486 | −$4,486 −100% | 6 |
| 17d | 88M | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili53¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$963 +89% | 6 |
| 17d |  KioskJammer | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili53¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$1,034 +89% | 6 |
| 17d |  nigiri992 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyLiam Draxl43¢ → 0¢ | $4,408 | −$4,408 −100% | 4 |
| 17d | Madeira99 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili59¢ → 100¢ | $2,715 | +$1,887 +69% | 4 |
| 18d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili58¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$2,534 +72% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili means the market gives it about 0%.