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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61d | swisstony2 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | BuyJacob Fearnley92¢ → 100¢ | $5,916 | +$493 +8.3% | 5 |
| 61d | thestingsnake | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | SellJacob Fearnley99¢ → 100¢ | $1,790 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 61d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | BuyJacob Fearnley87¢ → 100¢ | $6,927 | +$1,078 +16% | 5 |
| 61d | ferrariChampions2026 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | BuyRoberto Carballes Baena36¢ → 0¢ | $1,371 | −$1,371 −100% | 6 |
| 61d | kkookkoo2 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | BuyRoberto Carballes Baena27¢ → 0¢ | $3,150 | −$3,150 −100% | 6 |
| 61d |  Cypya | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | BuyJacob Fearnley74¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$520 +35% | 6 |
| 61d | omnibus-076daa | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | BuyRoberto Carballes Baena30¢ → 0¢ | $1,163 | −$1,163 −100% | 6 |
| 61d | Showy-Emergence | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | BuyRoberto Carballes Baena20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 61d |  TrajanCapital | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | BuyJacob Fearnley81¢ → 100¢ | $3,402 | +$798 +23% | 4 |
| 61d | Confused-Birthday | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena | BuyJacob Fearnley84¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$383 +19% | 4 |
FTX2.02,015 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena means the market gives it about 100%.