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Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 95% | — | — | 94¢ · 95¢ (1¢) | $186K | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $698 | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $356 | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $95 | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $2.84 | in 7d |
| Completed Match | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | >99% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | >99% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | >99% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16m | Xuinto | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellJacob Fearnley80¢ → 95¢ | $1,331 | −$238 −18% | — |
| 31m | robustmst4 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta36¢ → 6¢ | $28,006 | −$23,767 −85% | 18 |
| 37m | Reliable-Giggle | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta34¢ → 6¢ | $1,830 | −$1,534 −84% | 7 |
| 43m | Kkunn | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta30¢ → 6¢ | $9,000 | −$7,350 −82% | 10 |
| 1h | tennistrader20 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta19¢ → 6¢ | $2,000 | −$1,436 −72% | 7 |
| 1h | HomeRunHazard | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyJacob Fearnley86¢ → 95¢ | $1,553 | +$153 +9.9% | 5 |
| 1h | UpTheBlues5 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyJacob Fearnley87¢ → 95¢ | $9,788 | +$844 +8.6% | 7 |
| 1h | ferdinand22 fills | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyJacob Fearnley87¢ → 95¢ | $2,544 | +$219 +8.6% | 5 |
| 1h | Xuinto | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyJacob Fearnley64¢ → 95¢ | $1,059 | +$505 +48% | 6 |
alpheclabs2,970 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 95¢ for Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta means the market gives it about 95%.