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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81d | bordyugaqq | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | SellJacob Fearnley>99¢ | $1,436 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 81d | Kalahanda | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | SellJacob Fearnley>99¢ | $1,686 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 81d |  MartyFinklestein2 fills | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | SellJacob Fearnley86¢ → 100¢ | $7,516 | −$1,203 −16% | — |
| 81d | Harmonious-Virus | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | SellJacob Fearnley99¢ → 100¢ | $9,674 | −$98 −1.0% | — |
| 81d |  one8tyfive2 fills | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley81¢ → 100¢ | $14,703 | +$3,556 +24% | 5 |
| 81d | lionkk | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | SellJacob Fearnley77¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | −$369 −30% | — |
| 81d | MartyFinklestein2 fills | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley72¢ → 100¢ | $3,364 | +$1,284 +38% | 6 |
| 81d | one8tyfive | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino18¢ → 0¢ | $2,851 | −$2,851 −100% | 6 |
| 81d | Kalahanda | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley94¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | +$101 +6.4% | 4 |
| 81d | Spherical-Plier-LitigationNew account | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino16¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 15 |
| 81d | comon1192 fills | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino24¢ → 0¢ | $2,390 | −$2,390 −100% | 6 |
| 81d | ATPlegend2 fills | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley84¢ → 100¢ | $12,600 | +$2,400 +19% | 5 |
| 81d |  TRCM2 fills | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley71¢ → 100¢ | $7,812 | +$3,198 +41% | 6 |
| 81d | Faithful-Jazz | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley65¢ → 100¢ | $3,250 | +$1,750 +54% | 6 |
| 81d | Faithful-Jazz | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino44¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 6 |
| 81d | HomeRunHazard | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley70¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$1,055 +43% | 6 |
| 81d | bordyugaqq | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley70¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$438 +44% | 6 |
| 81d |  RiskIsForLosers | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley62¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$639 +62% | 6 |
| 81d | ferrariChampions2026 | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley59¢ → 100¢ | $2,436 | +$1,690 +69% | 6 |
| 81d | Rash-Copying | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino40¢ → 0¢ | $16,447 | −$16,447 −100% | 6 |
| 81d | Harmonious-Virus2 fills | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley72¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$2,772 +40% | 6 |
| 81d | sunnyhussain96 | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyJacob Fearnley61¢ → 100¢ | $2,656 | +$1,698 +64% | 6 |
| 82d | UpTheBlues | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino39¢ → 0¢ | $2,021 | −$2,021 −100% | 6 |
itfgod1,182 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Adrian Mannarino in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino means the market gives it about 100%.