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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley | 46% | — | — | 45¢ · 46¢ (1¢) | $59.2K | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | — | — | 43¢ · 44¢ (1¢) | $27 | in 7d |
| Completed Match | 52% | — | — | 8¢ · 96¢ (88¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner | 48% | — | — | 47¢ · 49¢ (2¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner | 46% | — | — | 44¢ · 48¢ (4¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | — | — | 39¢ · 41¢ (2¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 78% | — | — | 77¢ · 79¢ (2¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 55% | — | — | 50¢ · 60¢ (10¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 28% | — | — | 27¢ · 30¢ (3¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 21.5 | 57% | — | — | 57¢ · 58¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 33% | — | — | 32¢ · 33¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 28% | — | — | 27¢ · 29¢ (2¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley Game Spread +/-0.5 | 45% | — | — | 44¢ · 46¢ (2¢) | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley | BuyArthur Fery44¢ → 46¢ | $14,433 | +$333 +2.3% | 24 |
| 4h | viper03102 fills | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley | BuyJacob Fearnley55¢ → 54¢ | $7,389 | −$1 −0.0% | 14 |
nigiri995,058 shares
RN15,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Jacob Fearnley in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 46¢ for Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley means the market gives it about 46%.