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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −80 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130d | Portly-Derivation | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel | BuyArthur Fery57¢ → 100¢ | $2,181 | +$1,676 +77% | 6 |
| 130d | ferrariChampions2026 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel | BuyToby Samuel44¢ → 0¢ | $1,099 | −$1,099 −100% | 6 |
| 130d | Kch-Temp | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel | BuyToby Samuel43¢ → 0¢ | $2,734 | −$2,734 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Toby Samuel in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Toby Samuel. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel means the market gives it about 100%.