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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | Edenhazardous | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | jyben13 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $1,154 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Omnipollo442 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $5,536 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | SHSVHVD3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak | SellArthur Fils98¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 25d | UpTheBlues3 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak | BuyArthur Fils87¢ → 100¢ | $7,191 | +$1,104 +15% | 5 |
| 25d | Kkunn | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak | BuyKamil Majchrzak28¢ → 0¢ | $3,430 | −$3,430 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | primetoughness | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak | BuyKamil Majchrzak26¢ → 0¢ | $1,037 | −$1,037 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | Gaditima | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak | BuyArthur Fils82¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | +$423 +21% | 5 |
Socialista600 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Kamil Majchrzak in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Kamil Majchrzak. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak means the market gives it about 100%.