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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $491K | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 Winner | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $4.9K | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $2.43K | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Game Spread +/-2.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $410 | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $213 | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $186 | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $35 | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $3.39 | in 6d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $2.02 | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21h | Odd-Deformation | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21h |  SportsGuru | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $1,210 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21h | 7789083 fills | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $91,022 | −$91 −0.1% | — |
| 22h | karan842 fills | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | SellArthur Fils85¢ → 100¢ | $9,194 | −$1,625 −18% | — |
| 22h | younggenius5868 | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $2,843 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 22h | kkookkoo | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $27,010 | −$27 −0.1% | — |
| 22h | tennis-loser | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$122 +6.1% | 4 |
| 22h | HomeRunHazard | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils82¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$304 +22% | 5 |
| 22h | UpTheBlues4 fills | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils93¢ → 100¢ | $13,692 | +$1,082 +7.9% | 5 |
| 22h | Paul973973 | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$26 +1.3% | 4 |
| 22h | Sad-Help | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | SellArthur Fils97¢ → 100¢ | $11,428 | −$302 −2.6% | — |
| 22h | djwnke | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils96¢ → 100¢ | $8,900 | +$381 +4.3% | 4 |
| 23h | ferdinand2 | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils94¢ → 100¢ | $3,145 | +$201 +6.4% | 5 |
| 23h | UpTheBlues2 fills | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen22¢ → 0¢ | $6,341 | −$6,341 −100% | 7 |
| 23h | CandleHammerDrums | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen18¢ → 0¢ | $1,053 | −$1,053 −100% | 6 |
| 23h | 7789082 fills | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils82¢ → 100¢ | $35,661 | +$7,589 +21% | 9 |
| 23h | sc1pt0x | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils82¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$439 +22% | 5 |
| 23h | SeventyPercentPlus | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils64¢ → 100¢ | $6,644 | +$3,747 +56% | 7 |
| 23h | Sad-Help | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils63¢ → 100¢ | $7,243 | +$4,257 +59% | 7 |
| 23h | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen38¢ → 0¢ | $4,500 | −$4,500 −100% | 7 |
| 23h | Adrian3710 - 24718 | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils64¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$1,216 +56% | 6 |
| 23h | younggenius5868 | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils61¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$1,110 +64% | 6 |
| 23h | kkookkoo2 fills | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils64¢ → 100¢ | $17,400 | +$9,652 +55% | 9 |
| 23h | redvinny | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen56¢ → 0¢ | $1,771 | −$1,771 −100% | 6 |
| 23h | HomeRunHazard | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyAlex Michelsen54¢ → 0¢ | $1,286 | −$1,286 −100% | 6 |
| 1d | karan84 | European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen | BuyArthur Fils65¢ → 100¢ | $3,702 | +$1,994 +54% | 5 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Alex Michelsen in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for European Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen means the market gives it about 100%.