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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | 0xa3ae…aca3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $1,363 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | Admired-Chaos | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | phredmoz | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $2,424 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | RebornAthena | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $1,665 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 22d |  isco22 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | SellArthur Fils>99¢ | $3,905 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyArthur Fils90¢ → 100¢ | $7,557 | +$825 +11% | 5 |
| 22d |  MurkSniper | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyArthur Fils98¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | +$32 +2.0% | 4 |
| 22d | redvinny | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | SellArthur Fils89¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | −$203 −12% | — |
| 22d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyArthur Fils82¢ → 100¢ | $3,505 | +$764 +22% | 5 |
| 22d | 0xa3ae…aca3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyArthur Fils82¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$246 +22% | 5 |
| 22d | neutralwave23 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyFrances Tiafoe46¢ → 0¢ | $2,041 | −$2,041 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | thestingsnake | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | SellArthur Fils82¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$243 −22% | — |
| 22d | phredmoz | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyArthur Fils86¢ → 100¢ | $2,086 | +$340 +16% | 5 |
| 22d | HomeRunHazard | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe16¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 6 |
| 22d |  0xwise3 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe24¢ → 0¢ | $5,320 | −$5,320 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe26¢ → 0¢ | $3,237 | −$3,237 −100% | 4 |
| 22d | isco22 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyArthur Fils71¢ → 100¢ | $2,775 | +$1,134 +41% | 6 |
| 22d | jtwyslljy | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe23¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | xabidaking | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe30¢ → 0¢ | $4,816 | −$4,816 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | Antblack3 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe32¢ → 0¢ | $39,469 | −$39,469 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | Stavaharon | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe33¢ → 0¢ | $1,098 | −$1,098 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | Kkunn | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe34¢ → 0¢ | $6,880 | −$6,880 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe33¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | LITTLEBETS | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BuyFrances Tiafoe33¢ → 0¢ | $1,444 | −$1,444 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | Noisy-Rating | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver 2.542¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 22d | Exalted-Evocation | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyFrances Tiafoe57¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe means the market gives it about 100%.