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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | 0% | −82 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 Winner | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | BuyLautaro Midon34¢ → 100¢ | $4,969 | +$9,719 +196% | 6 |
| 164d | swy01 | Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | SellCristian Garin79¢ → 0¢ | $1,891 | +$1,891 +100% | — |
| 164d | ferrariChampions2026 | Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | BuyCristian Garin67¢ → 0¢ | $7,577 | −$7,577 −100% | 6 |
| 164d |  TRCM | Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | BuyCristian Garin64¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 6 |
| 164d |  tradecraft | Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | BuyCristian Garin64¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | fortuneking | Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | BuyCristian Garin60¢ → 0¢ | $2,066 | −$2,066 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | GGruter2 fills | Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | BuyCristian Garin45¢ → 0¢ | $2,932 | −$2,932 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | Lucianvespertine100 | Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | BuyCristian Garin92¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 5 |
| 164d |  STkody168 | Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon | BuyCristian Garin89¢ → 0¢ | $2,928 | −$2,928 −100% | 5 |
STkody1683,290 shares
3Tauros3515 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Cristian Garin and Lautaro Midon in the Oeiras 4, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Garin' if Cristian Garin advances against Lautaro Midon. This market will resolve to 'Lautaro Midon' if Lautaro Midon advances against Cristian Garin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Oeiras 4: Cristian Garin vs Lautaro Midon means the market gives it about 0%.