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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Game Spread +/-0.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +61 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $1,735 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | DrStatistics | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | RebornAthena | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $2,450 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | Ancient-Infarction | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $1,778 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 15d | HVAB | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyArthur Gea99¢ → 100¢ | $2,464 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 15d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyArthur Gea84¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | +$278 +19% | 4 |
| 15d | Ancient-Infarction2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyArthur Gea80¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$640 +26% | 4 |
| 15d | Accomplished-FrameworkNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | SellUgo Humbert15¢ → 0¢ | $2,406 | +$2,406 +100% | — |
| 15d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyArthur Gea83¢ → 100¢ | $8,956 | +$1,834 +20% | 4 |
| 15d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyArthur Gea77¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | +$1,172 +30% | 4 |
| 15d | Accomplished-FrameworkNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyUgo Humbert37¢ → 0¢ | $5,941 | −$5,941 −100% | 4 |
| 15d |  BIess | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyUgo Humbert39¢ → 0¢ | $2,482 | −$2,482 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | ferrariChampions20265 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyArthur Gea59¢ → 100¢ | $9,686 | +$6,686 +69% | 4 |
| 15d | ferrariChampions20266 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyUgo Humbert52¢ → 0¢ | $11,623 | −$11,623 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | MAGATheeStallion | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyArthur Gea53¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,773 +89% | 4 |
| 15d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyArthur Gea53¢ → 100¢ | $4,240 | +$3,760 +89% | 4 |
| 15d | RoadTo1MillionUsd | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert Game Spread +/-0.5 | BuyUgo Humbert50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | RebornAthena | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | BuyArthur Gea53¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,153 +89% | 4 |
BIess6,364 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Ugo Humbert in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert means the market gives it about 100%.