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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 Winner | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | 0xe98c…8792 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $2,650 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Mika06 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $3,863 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Zenhack | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $14,222 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $33,043 | −$33 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | redvinny | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $14,661 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | roverpredicts | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | usaine | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea>99¢ | $2,196 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Understandable98 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 Winner | SellArthur Gea99¢ → 100¢ | $3,795 | −$38 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | dmoralez4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea94¢ → 100¢ | $6,739 | +$402 +6.0% | 4 |
| 11d | Ss1984 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea97¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$75 +3.1% | 4 |
| 11d | Justluck9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | −$270 −9.9% | — |
| 11d | redvinny4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea88¢ → 100¢ | $11,594 | +$1,586 +14% | 4 |
| 11d | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik17¢ → 0¢ | $1,527 | −$1,527 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | itb08081982 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea94¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$65 −6.4% | — |
| 11d | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea95¢ → 100¢ | $2,639 | +$139 +5.3% | 4 |
| 11d | 0xd6e4…68be | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea90¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | −$154 −11% | — |
| 11d | usaine | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$198 +9.9% | 4 |
| 11d | 1234162 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea86¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | −$700 −16% | — |
| 11d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik30¢ → 0¢ | $1,489 | −$1,489 −100% | 4 |
| 11d |  Aussieoioioi | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik43¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | Aussieoioioi | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea65¢ → 100¢ | $3,965 | −$2,135 −54% | — |
| 11d | C63AMG | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea63¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | +$1,480 +59% | 4 |
| 11d | Understandable98 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 Winner | SellArthur Gea99¢ → 100¢ | $3,564 | −$36 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | astapzippo | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea62¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$1,064 +61% | 4 |
| 11d | Adelius | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik77¢ → 0¢ | $1,061 | −$1,061 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik69¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 Winner | BuyJakub Mensik54¢ → 0¢ | $1,944 | −$1,944 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | 0xe98c…8792 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea43¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$1,512 +133% | 4 |
| 11d | rogerveer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik60¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 |
| 11d |  PinkBear | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik59¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | Justluck9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea40¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$3,000 +150% | 4 |
| 11d | dmoralez2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellJakub Mensik59¢ → 0¢ | $2,221 | +$2,221 +100% | — |
| 11d | w... | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | — |
| 11d | dmoralez | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellArthur Gea50¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | −$1,456 −100% | — |
| 11d |  ChristianWolff2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik61¢ → 0¢ | $2,771 | −$2,771 −100% | 4 |
| 11d |  TRCM | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik62¢ → 0¢ | $1,358 | −$1,358 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | Mika06 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea40¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | +$2,320 +150% | 4 |
| 11d | PolyCharm | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik59¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | ChristianWolff | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | SellJakub Mensik60¢ → 0¢ | $1,413 | +$1,413 +100% | — |
| 11d | 1234162 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea40¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$3,000 +150% | 4 |
| 11d | Kkunn2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea44¢ → 100¢ | $14,312 | +$18,132 +127% | 4 |
| 11d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea37¢ → 100¢ | $1,753 | +$2,985 +170% | 4 |
| 11d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik62¢ → 0¢ | $2,464 | −$2,464 −100% | 4 |
| 11d |  tradecraft | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik62¢ → 0¢ | $5,017 | −$5,017 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | Noisy-Waitress | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik61¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | −$1,421 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea40¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$2,700 +150% | 4 |
| 11d | Zenhack2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea38¢ → 100¢ | $3,020 | +$4,837 +160% | 4 |
| 11d | Aussieoioioi | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea39¢ → 100¢ | $2,379 | +$3,721 +156% | 4 |
| 11d | Spotless-Girlfriend | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik62¢ → 0¢ | $2,900 | −$2,900 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | EVhunter69 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik62¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | 0000. | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik61¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | danmanud | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik61¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik59¢ → 0¢ | $1,557 | −$1,557 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | Cuco84 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik59¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | geraldo777 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea41¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$1,491 +147% | 4 |
| 12d |  VeryLucky8882 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyJakub Mensik62¢ → 0¢ | $2,460 | −$2,460 −100% | 4 |
| 12d | fastball672 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik | BuyArthur Gea39¢ → 100¢ | $3,963 | +$6,295 +159% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik means the market gives it about 100%.