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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 Winner | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 Winner | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d | AnonymousPerson | US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal | BuyArthur Gea>99¢ | $3,110 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 59d | thestingsnake | US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal | SellArthur Gea95¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | −$56 −5.3% | — |
| 59d | 131260522 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal | BuySumit Nagal17¢ → 0¢ | $2,317 | −$2,317 −100% | 6 |
| 59d | swisstony | US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal | BuyArthur Gea97¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$37 +3.1% | 4 |
| 59d | 0b1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal | BuyArthur Gea86¢ → 100¢ | $24,899 | +$4,053 +16% | 5 |
| 59d | agirlnamedAlice69 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal | BuyArthur Gea82¢ → 100¢ | $2,460 | +$540 +22% | 5 |
| 60d | omnibus-076daa | US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal | BuyArthur Gea83¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$238 +20% | 4 |
TRCM691 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Sumit Nagal in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Sumit Nagal. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal means the market gives it about 100%.