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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −80 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Game Spread +/-0.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 Winner | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | fishermm | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez>99¢ | $1,319 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | 1Day100USD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez>99¢ | $3,335 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | suntori | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez99¢ → 100¢ | $2,205 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 16d | Kkak97 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez99¢ → 100¢ | $2,634 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 16d | Limousin | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez75¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$492 +33% | 6 |
| 16d |  Gamer-Girl3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez44¢ → 100¢ | $4,423 | +$5,629 +127% | 6 |
| 16d | LightParadox | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuyMarcos Giron58¢ → 0¢ | $1,283 | −$1,283 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuyMarcos Giron50¢ → 0¢ | $11,808 | −$11,808 −100% | 6 |
| 16d |  ChristianWolff | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez82¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$231 −22% | — |
| 16d | Madeira99 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez83¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | −$270 −20% | — |
| 16d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$469 +23% | 5 |
| 16d | Luzzzer2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez57¢ → 100¢ | $16,157 | −$12,119 −75% | — |
| 16d |  frugs | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez82¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$290 −22% | — |
| 16d |  tradecraft | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez80¢ → 100¢ | $3,751 | +$938 +25% | 5 |
| 16d | _test_i075_i078_12 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez66¢ → 100¢ | $3,731 | +$1,897 +51% | 6 |
| 16d | _test_i075_i078_1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez72¢ → 100¢ | $2,704 | −$1,052 −39% | — |
| 16d | donaldbush | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuyMarcos Giron54¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Luzzzer2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez44¢ → 100¢ | $12,548 | +$15,728 +125% | 6 |
| 16d | pacopaquitopaco | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | SellMarcos Giron48¢ → 0¢ | $1,389 | +$1,389 +100% | — |
| 16d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez49¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | +$2,028 +104% | 6 |
| 16d | Numb-Ramie | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez24¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$4,042 +325% | 6 |
| 16d | UpTheBlues | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuyMarcos Giron92¢ → 0¢ | $7,502 | −$7,502 −100% | 5 |
| 16d | pacopaquitopaco | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuyMarcos Giron92¢ → 0¢ | $2,668 | −$2,668 −100% | 5 |
| 16d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuyMarcos Giron80¢ → 0¢ | $1,581 | −$1,581 −100% | 5 |
| 16d |  KioskJammer2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez30¢ → 100¢ | $2,069 | +$4,831 +233% | 6 |
| 16d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuyMarcos Giron77¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | 1Day100USD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez53¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | +$1,562 +89% | 6 |
| 16d | Omnipollo44 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez62¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | +$1,171 +62% | 6 |
| 16d | Complicated-Chassis | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez55¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$1,125 +82% | 6 |
| 18d | Dual-Criticism | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez54¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$1,121 +86% | 4 |
Gamer-Girl4,600 shares
Po1yamory644 shares
clownly600 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Sebastian Baez in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Marcos Giron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez means the market gives it about 0%.