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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $150K | in 7d |
| Completed Match | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 Winner | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h |  TRCM | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | BuySvyatoslav Gulin72¢ → >99¢ | $1,444 | +$561 +39% | 7 |
| 5h | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | BuySvyatoslav Gulin19¢ → >99¢ | $3,054 | +$13,276 +435% | 8 |
| 5h | tennis-loser | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller86¢ → <1¢ | $3,461 | −$3,459 −100% | 6 |
| 5h | Luzzzer | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | SellElmer Moeller48¢ → <1¢ | $11,154 | +$11,143 +100% | — |
| 5h | BaltazarGombka | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | SellElmer Moeller54¢ → <1¢ | $2,163 | +$2,161 +100% | — |
| 5h | omnibus-076daa | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller62¢ → <1¢ | $2,535 | −$2,533 −100% | 7 |
| 5h | Substantial-Service | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | BuySvyatoslav Gulin44¢ → >99¢ | $4,600 | +$5,849 +127% | 8 |
| 5h | Luzzzer | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller63¢ → <1¢ | $14,763 | −$14,751 −100% | 14 |
| 6h | BaltazarGombka2 fills | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller64¢ → <1¢ | $2,550 | −$2,548 −100% | 7 |
| 7h | Xuinto | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller58¢ → <1¢ | $1,060 | −$1,059 −100% | 7 |
| 7h | 0x02fd…104c | Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller67¢ → <1¢ | $3,461 | −$3,458 −100% | 8 |
TRCM1,739 shares
nba704 shares
RN12,083 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Svyatoslav Gulin and Elmer Moeller in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Lisbon: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Elmer Moeller means the market gives it about >99%.