Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 4d |
| Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 4d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Mad-Wound | Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller | SellElmer Moeller>99¢ | $1,054 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Chrischo9090 | Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller | SellElmer Moeller>99¢ | $1,539 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | HomeRunHazard | Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller91¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | +$144 +9.9% | 5 |
| 3d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller | SellElmer Moeller77¢ → 100¢ | $2,631 | −$782 −30% | — |
| 3d | traderwins180 | Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller | SellMax Alcala Gurri42¢ → 0¢ | $1,977 | +$1,977 +100% | — |
| 3d | traderwins180 | Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller | BuyMax Alcala Gurri51¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Elmer Moeller in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller means the market gives it about 0%.