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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set 1 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | hihhe | Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu | BuyVadym Ursu97¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$37 +2.8% | 4 |
| 47d | 0xe98c…8792 | Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu | BuyAugust Holmgren41¢ → 0¢ | $1,333 | −$1,333 −100% | 6 |
| 47d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu | BuyVadym Ursu55¢ → 100¢ | $3,020 | +$2,471 +82% | 6 |
| 47d |  tradecraft | Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu | BuyVadym Ursu53¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$945 +90% | 6 |
| 47d | PoleBetter | Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu | BuyAugust Holmgren52¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 47d |  TRCM | Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu | BuyAugust Holmgren61¢ → 0¢ | $1,220 | −$1,220 −100% | 6 |
| 47d | tradecraft | Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu | BuyAugust Holmgren61¢ → 0¢ | $1,220 | −$1,220 −100% | 6 |
| 47d | omnibus-076daa | Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu | BuyVadym Ursu33¢ → 100¢ | $1,733 | +$3,579 +207% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Vadym Ursu in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Vadym Ursu. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Istanbul 3: August Holmgren vs Vadym Ursu means the market gives it about 0%.