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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% | −19 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | 91¢ · 100¢ (9¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | Afh1994 | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNaoya Honda>99¢ | $2,029 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 38d |  Lfg689 | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNaoya Honda>99¢ | $2,371 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 38d | 01258787xy484874845451222 fills | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNaoya Honda79¢ → 100¢ | $8,955 | +$2,387 +27% | 5 |
| 38d | omnibus-076daa4 fills | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNaoya Honda54¢ → 100¢ | $13,914 | +$11,802 +85% | 6 |
| 38d | ATAKAJr.3 fills | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNaoya Honda77¢ → 100¢ | $77,217 | +$22,783 +30% | 6 |
| 38d | tenniz | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNaoya Honda89¢ → 100¢ | $42,282 | +$4,981 +12% | 5 |
| 38d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili92¢ → 0¢ | $1,674 | +$1,674 +100% | — |
| 38d | Yawning-Chicken | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNaoya Honda29¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | −$3,508 −248% | — |
| 38d | Yawning-Chicken | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNaoya Honda34¢ → 100¢ | $1,693 | +$3,227 +191% | 6 |
| 38d | Gaditima | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili66¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | −$1,320 −100% | 6 |
| 38d | Sn8383 | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNaoya Honda30¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$2,345 −233% | — |
| 38d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili73¢ → 0¢ | $7,912 | −$7,912 −100% | 6 |
| 38d | HomeRunHazard | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili93¢ → 0¢ | $1,497 | −$1,497 −100% | 4 |
| 38d | Flaznorp | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili94¢ → 0¢ | $2,051 | −$2,051 −100% | 4 |
| 38d | UpTheBlues | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili95¢ → 0¢ | $3,355 | −$3,355 −100% | 4 |
| 38d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili95¢ → 0¢ | $1,544 | −$1,544 −100% | 4 |
| 38d | yesmate2 fills | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili50¢ → 0¢ | $2,525 | −$2,525 −100% | 6 |
| 38d | yesmate | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNaoya Honda41¢ → 100¢ | $3,237 | +$4,659 +144% | 6 |
| 38d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-4.5 | BuyNaoya Honda60¢ → 50¢ | $2,000 | −$344 −17% | 6 |
| 38d |  OdileDeray | Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili69¢ → 0¢ | $4,035 | −$4,035 −100% | 6 |
OdileDeray5,848 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Naoya Honda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili means the market gives it about 100%.