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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 Winner | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79d |  Casperrino | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $4,431 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 79d | mojeimeje | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $8,183 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 79d | Sick-Backyard | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar91¢ → 100¢ | $1,767 | −$175 −9.9% | — |
| 79d | mamee2 | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar61¢ → 100¢ | $4,822 | +$3,083 +64% | 4 |
| 79d | Casperrino | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar51¢ → 100¢ | $2,251 | +$2,163 +96% | 4 |
| 79d | Substantial-Service | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyUgo Humbert56¢ → 0¢ | $2,452 | −$2,452 −100% | 4 |
| 79d | HomeRunHazard | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyUgo Humbert58¢ → 0¢ | $2,329 | −$2,329 −100% | 4 |
| 79d | HomeRunHazard | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar32¢ → 100¢ | $1,817 | +$3,861 +212% | 4 |
| 79d | Spotless-Spirituality | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyUgo Humbert70¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
| 80d | k56 | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyUgo Humbert70¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 80d | 0000.2 fills | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyUgo Humbert70¢ → 0¢ | $8,000 | −$8,000 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Ugo Humbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar means the market gives it about 0%.