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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173d | Quirky-Arrogance | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,070 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | NightStalker106 | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,707 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | fortuneking | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,090 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | DogecoinMillionaire | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $5,447 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Vivid-Reclamation | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi>99¢ | $1,492 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | bigwhale13372 fills | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi92¢ → 100¢ | $5,475 | −$458 −8.4% | — |
| 173d |  TRCM3 fills | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi76¢ → 100¢ | $6,827 | +$2,173 +32% | 6 |
| 173d |  RN1 | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi92¢ → 100¢ | $2,762 | +$240 +8.7% | 5 |
| 173d | h.roark | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi85¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$225 +18% | 5 |
| 173d | NightStalker106 | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi64¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$609 +55% | 6 |
| 173d | DogecoinMillionaire | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi68¢ → 100¢ | $3,696 | +$1,756 +48% | 6 |
| 174d | Sick-Backyard | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | SellMatteo Arnaldi47¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$1,192 −113% | — |
| 174d |  Kangta8585 | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyHubert Hurkacz50¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 6 |
| 174d | 0xa0f2…18487 fills | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyHubert Hurkacz55¢ → 0¢ | $9,506 | −$9,506 −100% | 6 |
| 174d | ferrariChampions2026 | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyHubert Hurkacz73¢ → 0¢ | $2,393 | −$2,393 −100% | 6 |
| 174d |  AbdelhamidAbaaoud2 fills | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyHubert Hurkacz72¢ → 0¢ | $10,893 | −$10,893 −100% | 4 |
| 174d |  leleo17 | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyHubert Hurkacz73¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 174d | bigwhale1337 | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyMatteo Arnaldi29¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | +$4,213 +245% | 4 |
| 174d | WynnWaldorf | Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BuyHubert Hurkacz74¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 |
AbdelhamidAbaaoud15,850 shares
Juanan7albu441 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Matteo Arnaldi in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi means the market gives it about 0%.