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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 85¢ · 100¢ (15¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | n1ck10s | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili>99¢ | $1,183 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | hurrican | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | SellNikoloz Basilashvili65¢ → 100¢ | $3,410 | −$1,836 −54% | — |
| 18d | Katalunygeaxvhj | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyAndre Ilagan39¢ → 0¢ | $1,873 | −$1,873 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | Substantial-Service | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyAndre Ilagan5¢ → 0¢ | $1,333 | −$1,333 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | hurrican | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$246 +4.9% | 4 |
| 18d | neutralwave23 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyAndre Ilagan72¢ → 0¢ | $1,236 | −$1,236 −100% | 6 |
| 18d |  KioskJammer | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili75¢ → 100¢ | $1,685 | +$557 +33% | 6 |
| 18d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyNikoloz Basilashvili75¢ → 100¢ | $3,712 | +$1,221 +33% | 6 |
| 18d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BuyAndre Ilagan28¢ → 0¢ | $1,974 | −$1,974 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Ilagan and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Ilagan' if Andre Ilagan advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Andre Ilagan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili means the market gives it about 0%.