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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72d | grozni | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,089 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | hihhe | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $11,768 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | DrStatistics | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,080 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | olegio | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $3,505 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 72d |  palmdo | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $2,032 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | AV23IUa | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $89,768 | −$90 −0.1% | — |
| 72d |  ForAndWithYou | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | eugenepol0 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $2,379 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 72d |  alpheclabs | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,421 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | moonwing | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,285 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Lonely-Wasting-Search | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,501 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | bigwhale1337 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $3,328 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | afraz | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $13,075 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | beeemw | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $5,550 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | mamee22 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima78¢ → 100¢ | $16,460 | −$4,583 −28% | — |
| 72d | raihanhyder | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $10,859 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | insidiousidiot | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $2,430 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $4,091 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | 0xb94c…ae33 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.5 | SellUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $2,825 | −$29 −1.0% | — |
| 72d | tennischamp | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima99¢ → 100¢ | $22,169 | −$224 −1.0% | — |
| 72d | swisstony6 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima59¢ → 100¢ | $26,732 | +$18,823 +70% | 6 |
| 72d | Lonely-Wasting-Search | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima90¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$129 +11% | 5 |
| 72d | anon.1980.123 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | −$250 −5.3% | — |
| 72d | swisstony8 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyRafael Jodar27¢ → 0¢ | $14,582 | −$14,582 −100% | 6 |
| 72d | Cavernous-Undershirt | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima89¢ → 100¢ | $3,085 | −$381 −12% | — |
| 72d | neutralwave23 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima76¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | −$534 −32% | — |
| 72d | Arcus-AI | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima79¢ → 100¢ | $2,370 | −$630 −27% | — |
| 72d | 0x760f…326a | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyRafael Jodar18¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 72d | Ditto321 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima91¢ → 100¢ | $22,750 | −$2,250 −9.9% | — |
| 72d | Ghghfhg6373 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima91¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$115 −9.9% | — |
| 72d | raihanhyder | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima92¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$870 +8.7% | 5 |
| 72d |  Cypya | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima92¢ → 100¢ | $1,847 | +$161 +8.7% | 5 |
| 72d | BaseballBill | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima92¢ → 100¢ | $10,025 | −$872 −8.7% | — |
| 72d |  ComingBack2 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima95¢ → 100¢ | $7,657 | +$403 +5.3% | 4 |
| 72d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima94¢ → 100¢ | $3,148 | −$201 −6.4% | — |
| 72d | Menacing-Helium | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima94¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$71 −6.4% | — |
| 72d | itb08081982 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima94¢ → 100¢ | $5,519 | −$352 −6.4% | — |
| 72d | neutralwave23 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima96¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$88 +4.2% | 4 |
| 72d |  aman90 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima96¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | −$64 −4.5% | — |
| 72d |  MPJ07082026 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima94¢ → 100¢ | $2,043 | −$131 −6.4% | — |
| 72d | luckydees | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | −$210 −7.5% | — |
| 72d | Arcus-AI3 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima86¢ → 100¢ | $5,676 | +$926 +16% | 5 |
| 72d | kibanachi2 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima87¢ → 100¢ | $19,900 | +$3,100 +16% | 5 |
| 72d |  TRCM | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyRafael Jodar15¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 6 |
| 72d | flatbarrel2 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyRafael Jodar30¢ → 0¢ | $6,614 | −$6,614 −100% | 6 |
| 72d |  tradecraft | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyRafael Jodar15¢ → 0¢ | $1,795 | −$1,795 −100% | 6 |
| 72d | thestingsnake2 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima83¢ → 100¢ | $4,251 | −$901 −21% | — |
| 72d | palmdo | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima89¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$223 +12% | 5 |
| 72d | beeemw | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima90¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$556 +11% | 5 |
| 72d | luckydees | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima90¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$300 +11% | 5 |
| 72d | Notag12411 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima89¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | +$370 +12% | 5 |
| 72d | TRCM4 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima55¢ → 100¢ | $10,994 | +$8,913 +81% | 6 |
| 72d | eugenepol0 | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima84¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$381 +19% | 5 |
| 72d | HomeRunHazard9 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima59¢ → 100¢ | $38,395 | +$26,359 +69% | 6 |
| 72d |  Pawliuk | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima84¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | +$258 +19% | 5 |
| 72d | Cavernous-Undershirt | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima88¢ → 100¢ | $3,050 | +$416 +14% | 5 |
| 72d | Reliable-Giggle | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima82¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | −$524 −22% | — |
| 72d | flatbarrel2 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima42¢ → 100¢ | $5,585 | +$7,852 +141% | 6 |
| 72d | Eddd1x3 fills | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyRafael Jodar53¢ → 0¢ | $24,341 | −$24,341 −100% | 4 |
| 72d | Weaseloftheweek | National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyRafael Jodar22¢ → 0¢ | $2,140 | −$2,140 −100% | 6 |
Marcoli124,374 shares
DonaldinhoTrumpito75,000 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima means the market gives it about 0%.