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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner | 50% | +10 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +11 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | +17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +4 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +10 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | −5 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | −8 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | pelik | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna>99¢ | $1,538 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 8d | n1ck10s | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | SellJuan Manuel La Serna>99¢ | $1,154 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 8d | 01258787xy484874845451224 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | SellJuan Manuel La Serna>99¢ | $122,487 | −$123 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | robustmst2 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | SellJuan Manuel La Serna98¢ → 100¢ | $22,619 | −$501 −2.2% | — |
| 8d | HVAB9 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna93¢ → 100¢ | $75,772 | +$5,892 +7.8% | 4 |
| 8d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyGuido Justo8¢ → 0¢ | $15,621 | −$15,621 −100% | 6 |
| 8d |  alpheclabs3 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna95¢ → 100¢ | $9,895 | +$531 +5.4% | 4 |
| 8d | UpTheBlues | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna94¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$62 +5.9% | 4 |
| 8d | 01258787xy484874845451224 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna82¢ → 100¢ | $72,129 | +$15,492 +21% | 5 |
| 8d | 0x5197…4638 | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna96¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$77 +4.2% | 4 |
| 8d |  RN1 | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyGuido Justo5¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | tenniz2 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna82¢ → 100¢ | $57,238 | +$12,626 +22% | 5 |
| 8d | Gavrilafara | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyGuido Justo32¢ → 0¢ | $6,148 | −$6,148 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | omnibus-076daa4 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyGuido Justo34¢ → 0¢ | $10,917 | −$10,917 −100% | 6 |
| 8d | robustmst2 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna42¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$12,429 +138% | 6 |
| 8d | caspar1248 | Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | BuyGuido Justo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,613 | −$1,613 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Guido Justo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna means the market gives it about 0%.